Bitcoin Technical Analysis: BTC’s Subdued Start to the Week Amid US Market Closures

Bitcoin's Trading Range

Monday is expected to be a quiet day for trading due to the observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, resulting in the closure of the U.S. bond market, Nasdaq, and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Over the past hour, the price of bitcoin has been trading between $42,530 and $42,765 per unit, showing a slight decrease of 0.3% over the last 24 hours. Throughout the day, bitcoin's price has fluctuated between $41,746 and $43,005.

Bitcoin's Upward Trend

An analysis of bitcoin's daily chart reveals a clear upward trend since late November, characterized by a series of higher peaks and troughs. This trend includes occasional retracements, where the price experiences significant surges followed by minor declines. The presence of strong trading volumes during periods of price fluctuations confirms the validity of these changes and indicates a positive market sentiment.

Neutral Market Outlook

Oscillators currently show a predominantly neutral outlook. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 51, and the Stochastic is at 65, both indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold at the moment. Similarly, the commodity channel index (CCI) at -71 is situated in a neutral zone. These indicators collectively suggest a market in balance, with no significant bias towards bullish or bearish conditions, reflecting an equilibrium between buyers and sellers.

Detailed Analysis of Bitcoin's Short-Term Trend

Examining bitcoin's 4-hour chart provides a more detailed perspective, revealing increased variability within the overall upward trend. This shorter timeframe shows less distinct trends, characterized by more sideways movements, suggesting short-term complexity in the price trajectory. The recent decline from $49K to $41.5K around January 11-12, 2024, indicates increased selling activity or profit-taking, which is an important observation for traders focusing on shorter durations.

Complex Picture of Moving Averages

Moving averages (MAs) across different periods present a more complex picture. Exponential moving averages (EMAs) for 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 days show a mix of bearish and bullish signals, while simple moving averages (SMAs) for the same periods reflect this mixed sentiment. The divergence between EMAs and SMAs at certain points, especially in the 10 and 100-day periods, highlights the nuanced investor sentiment and the potential shifts in market momentum.

Bullish and Bearish Outlook

Bull Verdict: The prevailing bullish signals on bitcoin's daily chart, characterized by consistent higher highs and higher lows, indicate a strong upward momentum. The mixed signals from oscillators and moving averages suggest a balanced market, but with a slight bias towards further bullish activity. The resilience shown at established support levels, along with significant trading volume, reinforces the potential for sustained upward movement.

Bear Verdict: Despite the overall bullish trend observed on bitcoin's daily chart, the complexities and fluctuations seen on the shorter 4-hour timeframe indicate potential volatility and uncertainty. The neutral stance of oscillators like the RSI and CCI, combined with the mixed signals from both EMAs and SMAs, highlight a market that could be susceptible to a downturn.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the benefits to having a gold IRA

The best way to invest money for retirement is by putting it into an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). It's tax-deferred until you withdraw it. You have complete control over how much you take out each year. And there are many different types of IRAs. Some are better suited for college students. Some are better suited for investors who want higher returns. Roth IRAs permit individuals to contribute after the age 59 1/2. Any earnings earned at retirement are subject to tax. Once they start withdrawing money, however, the earnings aren’t subject to tax again. This account is a good option if you plan to retire early.

A gold IRA is similar to other IRAs because it allows you to invest money in various asset classes. Unlike a regular IRA, you don't have to worry about paying taxes on your gains while you wait to access them. This makes gold IRA accounts a great choice for those who want their money to be invested, not spent.

Another benefit to owning IRA gold is the ability to withdraw automatically. It means that you don’t have to remember to make deposits every month. To avoid missing a payment, direct debits can be set up.

Finally, gold is one of the safest investment choices available today. Because it's not tied to any particular country, its value tends to remain steady. Even during economic turmoil, gold prices tend to stay relatively stable. Gold is a good option for protecting your savings from inflation.

How can I withdraw from a Precious metal IRA?

First, decide if it is possible to withdraw funds from an IRA. Make sure you have enough cash in your account to cover any fees, penalties, or charges that may be associated with withdrawing money from an IRA.

An IRA is not the best option if you don't mind paying a penalty for early withdrawal. Instead, open a taxable brokerage. This option will require you to pay taxes on the amount that you withdraw.

Next, determine how much money you plan to withdraw from your IRA. This calculation will depend on many factors including your age at the time of withdrawal, how long the account has been in your possession, and whether you plan to continue contributing towards your retirement plan.

Once you determine the percentage of your total saved money you want to convert into cash, then you need to choose which type IRA you will use. Traditional IRAs permit you to withdraw your funds tax-free once you turn 59 1/2. Roth IRAs have income taxes upfront, but you can access the earnings later on without paying additional taxes.

Once you have completed these calculations, you need to open your brokerage account. Most brokers offer free signup bonuses and other promotions to entice people to open accounts. It is better to open an account with a debit than a creditcard in order to avoid any unnecessary fees.

When you finally get around to making withdrawals from your precious metal IRA, you'll need a safe place where you can store your coins. Some storage facilities will take bullion bars while others require you only to purchase individual coins. Before you choose one, weigh the pros and cons.

For example, storing bullion bars requires less space because you aren't dealing with individual coins. However, each coin will need to be counted individually. However, individual coins can be stored to make it easy to track their value.

Some people like to keep their coins in vaults. Others prefer to store them in a safe deposit box. Whichever method you choose, make sure you store your bullion safely so you can enjoy its benefits for years to come.

How is gold taxed in Roth IRA?

An investment account's tax is calculated based on the current value of the account, and not on what you paid originally. If you invest $1,000 in mutual funds or stocks and then later sell them, all gains are subjected to taxes.

But if you put the money into a traditional IRA or 401(k), there's no tax when you withdraw the money. Taxes are only charged on capital gains or dividends earned, which only apply to investments longer than one calendar year.

The rules governing these accounts vary by state. Maryland's rules require that withdrawals be taken within 60 days after you turn 59 1/2. Massachusetts allows you up to April 1st. New York allows you to wait until age 70 1/2. You should plan and take distributions early enough to cover all retirement savings expenses to avoid penalties.

Statistics

  • If you take distributions before hitting 59.5, you'll owe a 10% penalty on the amount withdrawn. (lendedu.com)
  • Indeed, several financial advisers interviewed for this article suggest you invest 5 to 15 percent of your portfolio in gold, just in case. (aarp.org)
  • The price of gold jumped 131 percent from late 2007 to September 2011, when it hit a high of $1,921 an ounce, according to the World Gold Council. (aarp.org)
  • This is a 15% margin that has shown no stable direction of growth but fluctuates seemingly at random. (smartasset.com)
  • (Basically, if your GDP grows by 2%, you need miners to dig 2% more gold out of the ground every year to keep prices steady.) (smartasset.com)

External Links

cftc.gov

wsj.com

irs.gov

bbb.org

How To

How to hold physical gold in an IRA

The best way to invest in Gold is by purchasing shares of companies that produce it. But this investment method has many risks as there is no guarantee of survival. Even if the company survives, they still face the risk of losing their investment due to fluctuations in gold's price.

You can also buy gold directly. This requires you to either open up your account at a bank or an online bullion dealer or simply purchase gold from a reputable seller. This option is convenient because you can access your gold when it's low and doesn't require you to deal with stock brokers. It's also easier to see how much gold you've got stored. A receipt will be sent to you indicating exactly how much you paid. This will allow you to see if there were any tax omissions. You are also less likely to be robbed than investing in stocks.

However, there are some disadvantages too. For example, you won't benefit from banks' interest rates or investment funds. You can't diversify your holdings, and you are stuck with the items you have bought. Finally, the taxman may ask you about where you have put your gold.

If you'd like to learn more about buying gold in an IRA, visit the website of BullionVault.com today!

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By: Jamie Redman
Title: Bitcoin Technical Analysis: BTC's Subdued Start to the Week Amid US Market Closures
Sourced From: news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-technical-analysis-btcs-subdued-start-to-the-week-amid-us-market-closures/
Published Date: Mon, 15 Jan 2024 14:05:07 +0000

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