Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! If you've been closely following Bitcoin's rollercoaster ride, you must have felt the turbulence of the recent bear market. But fear not, as I'm here to shed light on why this downward spiral may be coming to a close. Let's dive in and explore the fascinating dynamics that could signal a shift in the crypto sphere.
Decoding the Bitcoin Bear Market Decline
Bitcoin's Entry into Bear Territory
Picture this: Bitcoin slipping below the 350-day moving average, breaching the $100,000 mark, and tumbling past the psychological barrier of six figures. That's when the bear market officially rang the bell, sending Bitcoin plummeting by around 20% in a heartbeat. Technically, dipping under The Golden Ratio Multiplier moving average has historically been a red flag for Bitcoin's bear cycles. But here's where the plot thickens when we shift our gaze from USD to Gold.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Tale of Two Charts
Comparing Bitcoin's performance against Gold and the USD paints vastly different narratives. While Bitcoin hit its peak in December 2024 and nosedived by over 50%, the USD valuation peaked in October 2025, nowhere near the previous year's highs. This divergence hints that Bitcoin might have been in bear territory longer than most realize. By analyzing past bear cycles in Gold terms, we may pinpoint critical support levels that could signal a turnaround.
Fibonacci Retracement: Unraveling Bitcoin's Journey
Instead of solely relying on percentage drops and timeframes, let's talk Fibonacci retracement levels. Tracking these levels across historical cycles unveils fascinating patterns. The 2015-2018 cycle saw a bottom at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, equivalent to around 2.56 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. Fast forward to the 2018-2022 cycle, the bottom aligned near the 0.5 level at about 9.74 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. These levels have since played significant roles as price pivots.
- 2015-2018 cycle: Bottom at 0.618 level (2.56 oz of Gold per Bitcoin)
- 2018-2022 cycle: Bottom near 0.5 level (9.74 oz of Gold per Bitcoin)
Anticipating Support Zones
Currently, Bitcoin hovers around the midpoint of key Fibonacci levels, suggesting a potential accumulation zone. The convergence of different cycle levels indicates possible support around $67,000 to $80,000. These zones, calibrated across various cycles and translated back into USD, may serve as crucial turning points in the ongoing bear market.
- 0.786 level: Around 21.05 oz of Gold (corresponding to $89,160)
- 0.618 level: Near $80,000
Looking Ahead: Is the End in Sight?
Considering Bitcoin's declining purchasing power against Gold since 2024, the bear market may be more extended than anticipated. However, historical data points and Fibonacci retracement levels hint at a potential conclusion sooner than expected, possibly around the $67,000 to $80,000 range. While this analysis isn't crystal ball precision, the alignment of data across timelines and valuation frameworks paints a promising picture.
Keen to explore further? Check out our latest YouTube video: Proof This Bitcoin Bear Market May Be OVER Already
So, fellow crypto aficionados, stay informed, stay curious, and remember, the crypto world is full of surprises. Here's to navigating the Bitcoin waves with insight and confidence!
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a Precious Metal IRA?
You can diversify your retirement savings by investing in precious metal IRAs. This allows you to invest in gold, silver and platinum as well as iridium, osmium and other rare metals. These are “precious metals” because they are hard to find, and therefore very valuable. These are excellent investments that will protect your wealth from inflation and economic instability.
Precious metals are sometimes called “bullion.” Bullion refers actually to the metal.
Bullion can be purchased via a variety of channels including online sellers, large coin dealers, and grocery stores.
A precious metal IRA allows you to invest directly in bullion, rather than buying stock shares. This will ensure that you receive annual dividends.
Precious metal IRAs do not require paperwork nor annual fees, unlike regular IRAs. Instead, your gains are subject to a small tax. You can also access your funds whenever it suits you.
How much of your portfolio should you hold in precious metals
First, let's define precious metals to answer the question. Precious metals have elements with an extremely high worth relative to other commodity. This makes them valuable in investment and trading. Gold is by far the most common precious metal traded today.
However, many other types of precious metals exist, including silver and platinum. The price for gold is subject to fluctuations, but stays relatively stable in times of economic turmoil. It also remains relatively unaffected by inflation and deflation.
All precious metals prices tend to rise with the overall market. They do not always move in the same direction. The price of gold tends to rise when the economy is not doing well, but the prices of the other precious metals tends downwards. Investors expect lower interest rates which makes bonds less appealing investments.
The opposite effect happens when the economy is strong. Investors favor safe assets like Treasury Bonds, and less precious metals. Because they are rare, they become more pricey and lose value.
Therefore, to maximize profits from investing in precious metals, you must diversify across multiple precious metals. Because precious metals prices are subject to fluctuations, it is best to invest across multiple precious metal types, rather than focusing on one.
What are the benefits of having a gold IRA?
You can save money on retirement by putting your money into an Individual Retirement Account. It's tax-deferred until you withdraw it. You can decide how much money you withdraw each year. There are many types and types of IRAs. Some are better for those who want to save money for college. Others are designed for investors looking for higher returns. For example, Roth IRAs allow individuals to contribute after age 59 1/2 and pay taxes on any earnings at retirement. Once they start withdrawing money, however, the earnings aren’t subject to tax again. This account is a good option if you plan to retire early.
The gold IRA allows you to invest in different asset classes, which is similar to other IRAs. Unlike a regular IRA which requires taxes to be paid on gains as you wait to withdraw them, a IRA with gold allows you to invest in multiple asset classes. This makes gold IRA accounts a great choice for those who want their money to be invested, not spent.
You can also enjoy automatic withdrawals, which is another benefit of owning your gold through an IRA. This means that you don't need to worry about making monthly deposits. To avoid missing a payment, direct debits can be set up.
Gold is one of today's most safest investments. It is not tied to any country so its value tends stay steady. Even in economic turmoil, gold prices tends to remain relatively stable. This makes it a great investment option to protect your savings from inflation.
Which precious metals are best to invest in retirement?
These precious metals are among the most attractive investments. Both can be easily bought and sold, and have been around since forever. You should add them to your portfolio if you are looking to diversify.
Gold: Gold is one of man's oldest forms of currency. It is also extremely safe and stable. Because of this, it is considered a great way of preserving wealth during times when there are uncertainties.
Silver: Investors have always loved silver. It is an excellent choice for investors who wish to avoid volatility. Unlike gold, silver tends to go up instead of down.
Platinium: Another form of precious metal is platinum, which is becoming more popular. Like gold and silver, it's very durable and resistant to corrosion. It is, however, more expensive than its competitors.
Rhodium: The catalytic converters use Rhodium. It is also used for jewelry making. It's also relatively inexpensive compared to other precious metals.
Palladium (or Palladium): Palladium can be compared to platinum, but is much more common. It's also less expensive. It is a preferred choice among investors who are looking to add precious materials to their portfolios.
Statistics
- This is a 15% margin that has shown no stable direction of growth but fluctuates seemingly at random. (smartasset.com)
- Gold is considered a collectible, and profits from a sale are taxed at a maximum rate of 28 percent. (aarp.org)
- Indeed, several financial advisers interviewed for this article suggest you invest 5 to 15 percent of your portfolio in gold, just in case. (aarp.org)
- Instead, the economy improved, stocks rebounded, and gold plunged, losing 28 percent of its value in 2013. (aarp.org)
- If you take distributions before hitting 59.5, you'll owe a 10% penalty on the amount withdrawn. (lendedu.com)
External Links
law.cornell.edu
- 7 U.S. Code SS7 – Designation of boards for trade as contract markets
- 26 U.S. Code SS 408 – Individual retirement funds
bbb.org
finance.yahoo.com
cftc.gov
How To
3 Ways To Invest in Gold For Retirement
It's essential to understand how gold fits into your retirement plan. If you have a 401(k) account at work, there are several ways you can invest in gold. You might also consider investing in gold outside your workplace. For example, if you own an IRA (Individual Retirement Account), you could open a custodial account at a brokerage firm such as Fidelity Investments. You might also consider purchasing precious metals directly from a trusted dealer if they are not already yours.
These are the three rules to follow if you decide to invest in gold.
- Buy Gold with Your Cash – Don't use credit cards or borrow money to fund your investments. Instead, put cash into your accounts. This will protect you from inflation and help keep your purchasing power high.
- Physical Gold Coins: You should own physical gold coins, not just a certificate. It's easier to sell physical gold coins rather than certificates. Physical gold coins don't require storage fees.
- Diversify Your Portfolio. Never place all your eggs in the same basket. Also, diversify your wealth and invest in different assets. This reduces risk and allows you to be more flexible during market volatility.
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By: Matt Crosby
Title: Why The Bitcoin Bear Market Is Nearing Its End: A Comprehensive Analysis
Sourced From: bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-bear-market-almost-finished
Published Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2025 14:16:24 +0000
